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1993-04-03
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Ken Deen's THE AGGRESSIVE TRADER(tm)
"Seeking double-digit profits in one to four months"
Vol. 2 No.57 April 1, 1993 12:00pm New York Time
**********
Market Stance: Cautiously Bullish
**********
ANNOUNCEMENTS:
* Volume 2 #58 will be the Monthly Status Report covering performance
through the end of February. It will be mailed in about one week.
* Volume 2 #59 will be the Monthly Status Report covering performance
through the end of March. It will be mailed in three to four weeks.
**********
CORRECTION:
In Volume 2 #53 (March 26, 1993) I stated that I purchased 200 shares of
Copley Pharmaceutical (NASDAQ: CPLY) in my Marginable Account and another 200
shares in my IRA Account. The number of shares was a typo. In fact, I
purchased 300 shares in each Account.
**********
ALERT ITEMS:
Market Commentary: See Below
Marginable Account: No trades
IRA Account: No trades
DESI(tm) Account (a computer-simulated hypothetical account): No trades
DESI(tm) Buy/Sell Signals (computer-generated): None
Other Strong Recomendations:
* Recoton Corp. (NASDAQ: RCOT, $21.13)
EPS:86, RS:90, GR:39->5, PE:19, Audio/Video Home Products
**********
TRADING IDEAS:
(These are NOT buy recommendations. They are merely suggestions for your
further research.)
Breakouts (The following stock(s) have excellent sales and earnings growth,
and have just broken out from a six-week or longer base.):
* Apple South Inc. (NASDAQ: APSO, $19.00)
EPS:99, RS:97, GR:61->103, PE:43, Retail-Food & Restaurants
* Just Toys Inc. (NASDAQ: JUST, $18.25)
EPS:88, RS:85, GR:155->174, PE:17, Toys/Games/Hobby Products
* Xylogics Inc. (NASDAQ: XLGX, $20.25)
EPS:94, RS:95, GR:18->42, PE:32, Computer Peripheral Equipment
* International Game Technology (NYSE: IGT, $32.75)
EPS:99, RS:93, GR:27->6, PE:26, Leisure & Recreation-Gaming
**********
Recoton Corp.
This is a strong buy. The story here is a technical breakout following a
strong earnings surprise about three weeks ago. The group is gaining favor
rapidly, the P/E is low, and the company's growth is fast and accelerating.
Here are the last four quarters of sales and earnings growth:
Quarter
Ended Sales($mil) Earnings-per-share
--------- ---------------- -------------------
Mar 31 92 14.5 vs 12.3 +18% 0.24 vs 0.15 +0.09
Jun 30 92 15.1 vs 12.1 +25% 0.22 vs 0.12 +0.10
Sep 30 92 18.3 vs 15.4 +19% 0.28 vs 0.19 +0.09
Dec 31 92 28.8 vs 18.5 +56% 0.40 vs 0.21 +0.19
On March 12, the stock shot up 2 1/4 points to 20 1/4 on more than triple
normal volume in response to earnings news. The stock closed yesterday at an
all-time high of 21 1/8. The stock has bounced off of resistance at 20 to 21
several times over the past few months. It closed at 20 1/4 as far back as
Dec. 3 of last year. Therefore, the stock is not overbought or extended; it
is poised to make a good run from here.
At 19, the P/E is well under half the recent growth rate, one of my pet
criteria. Finally, the industry group (Audio/Video Home Products) is
gaining favor dramatically. The group ranks 5th out of 199 groups this week
for 6-month price performance; that's way up from 101st place on Jan. 6, less
than three months ago.
Recoton, located in Long Island City, NY (718-392-6442), markets accessory
products for home video and audio equipment, telephones, TV antennas, and
personal computers.
All rankings in today's Alert are from Investor's Business Daily.
<Stock chart appears here in printed/fax version.>
**********
Previous Alert: Vol.2 #53 (March 26, 1993)
**********
*** To all who download this newsletter ***
On May 1, 1993, this newsletter will be available only for a subscription
fee. There will be no further uploads on or after that date.
From now through April 30, 1993, I am offering at-cost subscriptions (very
very inexpensive) by e-mail, fax, and postal mail. These are alternatives to
downloading. E-mail via Internet is free during this trial period.
Monthly Status Reports (available in printed form only) are an essential
adjunct to these timely bulletins. Among other things, they review the stock
holdings and historical performance of each newsletter account. To receive a
free sample Monthly Status Report plus an at-cost subscription form, just
send your paper mail address.
-Ken Deen
**********
The Aggressive Trader is edited and published at irregular intervals, but
at least monthly, by Deen Capital Management, Inc., P.O. Box 4791, Santa
Barbara, California 93140, (805) 565-2039.
CompuServe: 72020,2050 Internet: 72020.2050@compuserve.com
Deen Capital Management, Inc., its principals, employees, affiliates,
and/or clients may have positions in securities recommended herein and may
make additional purchases and/or sales in these securities.
Recommendations made in this publication involve a high degree of risk and
may result in losses. Readers should not assume that recommendations will be
profitable or will equal past performance. The information in this
publication is collected from sources believed to be reliable, but neither the
accuracy nor the completeness of this information is guaranteed.
The Aggressive Trader, Deen Earnings Surprise Index, DESI, and DESI-3 are
all trademarks of Deen Capital Management, Inc.
Copyright (c) 1993 Deen Capital Management, Inc.
-END-